You’ll recall that I’ve blogged about the three primary seasonal hurricane forecasters forecasting a “much above normal” season in 2010. So, far that has not panned out yet with only one named storm and nothing in sight. This is due to a large area of dust coming west from Africa which has inhibited cloud formation.
That said, the water (the fuel for hurricane intensification) temperatures are warmer than normal and the lack of clouds allows the sun to continue to drive water temperatures up. The lack of storms keeps the heat in the upper ocean, available for feeding any storms. If storms occur, they could be very intense because of the hot water.
So, vigilance is still called for.