Below, I talk about the 99.58% accuracy rate of the National Weather Service’s severe weather outlook issued the day before yesterday’s severe weather event.
Last night, I was watching the storms as they went across the Nashville area. We have relatives in Nashville, including in Mount Juliet. I told Kathleen that “the tornado would pass about five miles south of Mt. Juliet.” That was an excellent forecast.
Here is the map I posted on this blog last night. I derived this data from radar:
The red circle is the circulation that produced the tornado. The arrow is the path of the circulation across the south and east part of the Nashville metro area.
This is the path of tornado, produced by the circulation, as determined by National Weather Service survey.
At 7:43am Wednesday, more than 39 hours before the tornado, I wrote the following on this blog:
Now, here is the best part: Even though this was a non-standard tornado situation, there were effective warnings issued by the NWS for the public and by WeatherData Services, Inc. for its clients. The results, according to the NWS: No deaths and no injuries — even though this tornado was rated F-2 intensity and occurred in darkness.
Even 15 years ago, it is quite possible this tornado would have not been detected and would have occurred unwarned. Deaths might have resulted. We have today’s sophisticated warning system to thank for another lifesaving success.
UPDATE: Here is a good article about the impressive tornado damage. Note the toppled metal electrical towers.