I’ve received several messages via email and Twitter the last few days asking me why I’m not talking about “the hurricane”?
For the last week, the computer models have been forecasting a hurricane to strike the United States. Unfortunately, there has been zero consistency as to location: All the way from Galveston to Florida to North Carolina to out in the Atlantic (missing the U.S. entirely). As I have previously stated, I dislike the “hyping” of every wave that comes off Africa, somethings leading to “ten days of anxiety followed by three days of actual warnings.”
That said, we now have tropical storm Irene.
|click to enlarge, forecast from NOAA|
It does have the potential to strike Florida or one of the bordering states and it does have the potential to be a hurricane. When you view the map above, let me suggest that you concentrate on the hatched area rather than the dark circles, as we really can’t say what part of Florida is yet at risk.
AccuWeather has coverage of Irene here and always has the latest on tropical conditions on our Hurricane page. [For the many new readers of this blog, my "day job" is Sr. Vice President of AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions, but the comments on this blog are mine and not AccuWeather's.]
If you are in Florida or adjacent areas, let me suggest the following:
- Keep your car’s gas tank full. Spend $25 or so to buy an electrical inverter.
- If you have dispersed family (i.e., kids in college, elderly relatives you might need to help evacuate, etc.), talk with them now about contingencies if your area is put under a warning later this week
- Make sure you have a battery-powered TV or radio with fresh batteries
- Get any medical prescriptions refilled now, even if you haven’t completely run out.
UPDATE, 11:35am Sunday. Latest computer models (see post above) are taking Irene in the eastern part of the path shown in this post, perhaps just brushing Florida and moving into South Carolina.
Thanks, Glenn, and Welcome Instapundit Readers. Please take a moment to look around the blog while you are here.